Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.568124 0.651739 0.742710 0.848941 0.969498 1.101972 1.258485
2025-01-12 0.436558 0.548300 0.680438 0.847842 1.053883 1.298788 1.611564
2025-01-19 0.330588 0.451813 0.606687 0.818181 1.098509 1.456261 1.946277
2025-01-26 0.273201 0.403626 0.582502 0.844049 1.214729 1.718934 2.453993
2025-02-02 0.232831 0.369743 0.570214 0.882293 1.352395 2.029781 3.074268
2025-02-09 0.193443 0.328920 0.539901 0.888193 1.443459 2.287362 3.657473
2025-02-16 0.161167 0.292292 0.508674 0.886014 1.520125 2.532465 4.255801
2025-02-23 0.136221 0.262534 0.482623 0.886597 1.599495 2.790538 4.908395
2025-03-02 0.115949 0.236747 0.458332 0.885142 1.673633 3.047948 5.592527
2025-03-09 0.101648 0.219104 0.445175 0.900611 1.778445 3.369394 6.426531
2025-03-16 0.087201 0.198169 0.421973 0.892854 1.838307 3.617172 7.158902
2025-03-23 0.077838 0.185842 0.413352 0.911689 1.950702 3.974013 8.135519
2025-03-30 0.066909 0.168101 0.391010 0.899823 2.002257 4.225423 8.950998
2025-04-06 0.059531 0.156975 0.380903 0.912279 2.105871 4.592747 10.043433
2025-04-13 0.050819 0.140778 0.356583 0.889215 2.129925 4.801150 10.838424
2025-04-20 0.046839 0.135647 0.357076 0.923154 2.285195 5.304307 12.315913
2025-04-27 0.043899 0.132641 0.362177 0.968876 2.474020 5.903082 14.072707
2025-05-04 0.039457 0.124540 0.353060 0.978029 2.577622 6.324814 15.486403
2025-05-11 0.035157 0.115880 0.340920 0.977414 2.657193 6.701046 16.841023
2025-05-18 0.031506 0.108324 0.330378 0.979219 2.742992 7.102015 18.300790
2025-05-25 0.028216 0.101134 0.319539 0.978383 2.821770 7.495363 19.788329
2025-06-01 0.025903 0.096573 0.315470 0.995904 2.951925 8.030948 21.687136
2025-06-08 0.023100 0.089697 0.303223 0.987701 3.010561 8.392641 23.190900